Reading the Tea Leaves
Nov. 6th, 2006 07:29 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
saavedra77Reviewing the past week's worth of polls, the Cook Political Report concludes that the GOP is headed for an electoral disaster, tomorrow:
"In the House, it would take a miracle for the GOP to hold onto their majority. The losses look very likely to exceed 20 seats, and a 20- to 35-seat loss is most likely, but we would not be surprised for it to exceed 35 seats."
"The Senate still looks likely to see a net loss for Republicans of at least four seats, putting the best case scenario for the GOP at a 51-49 seat majority, but a five-seat gain that would result in a 50-50 Senate with Vice President Dick Cheney breaking the tie, or a six-seat gain that would give Democrats a 51-49 seat majority is most likely. There remains an outside chance of a seven-seat, 52-48 Democratic majority." [Italics added.]
Personally, whatever hopes I have for tomorrow (and I have invested far too much energy this year to deny that I have some) have been tempered by three election cycles worth of disappointment. And if there really is an electoral earthquake, tomorrow, it's damned overdue.
"In the House, it would take a miracle for the GOP to hold onto their majority. The losses look very likely to exceed 20 seats, and a 20- to 35-seat loss is most likely, but we would not be surprised for it to exceed 35 seats."
"The Senate still looks likely to see a net loss for Republicans of at least four seats, putting the best case scenario for the GOP at a 51-49 seat majority, but a five-seat gain that would result in a 50-50 Senate with Vice President Dick Cheney breaking the tie, or a six-seat gain that would give Democrats a 51-49 seat majority is most likely. There remains an outside chance of a seven-seat, 52-48 Democratic majority." [Italics added.]
Personally, whatever hopes I have for tomorrow (and I have invested far too much energy this year to deny that I have some) have been tempered by three election cycles worth of disappointment. And if there really is an electoral earthquake, tomorrow, it's damned overdue.
