Obstinate, Hopefully Irrelevant

[saavedra77]

We asked nicely.

I don't know why Nader would think that reprising his 2000 and 2004 campaigns will work out any better, this time ... except that he has an ego the size of Alaska and the obstinacy of the Flat Earth Society.

Which he does. So I guess that no one should be surprised that he's going to tilt at that windmill, anyway.

Of course, the 2000 race was freakishly close, Nader was largely irrelevant in 2004. We can hope that he'll be similarly ineffectual, in 2008--only that the Democrat nominee is the one who's clearly ahead, this time around, as the polls collated at Real Clear Politics consistently predict in an Obama-McCain race.

X-posted to ljdemocrats

Comments

[saavedra77.livejournal.com]

Notice me very carefully phrasing things as if Obama winning the nomination were a foregone conclusion.

Mmm-hmm: My expectations for the fall campaign would be a whole lot more pessimistic all around, if we assume that HRC turns out to be the nominee. On that scenario, I'd expect a close election in which both the left and right will be unhappy with the major party candidates but McCain will have an advantage over Clinton with independents. Clinton may not be able to overcome that advantage in any case, but Nader's presence would certainly makeher situation more difficult, creating another option both for progressive and independent voters.